A lot has happened since my last Miami Marlins post, so I wanted to provide some brief thoughts on aspects of the Marlins 2025 season, especially after the low point of losing to the historically awful Rockies twice, and before my wife and I take a road trip to see a Marlins game in Tampa on Saturday against the Rays.
My overall optimism about the new front office has not changed. I predicted 64 wins this year, and that looks about accurate, specially since there will be trades at the deadline. The Marlins should trade any and every bullpen arm that can command sufficient value—bullpen arms are the most volatile aspects of any team sport and therefore should face no restrictions in trade discussions—anyone should be available at the right price. I think that’s also true for Jesus Sanchez, whose value is as high as it’s ever going to be. These make sense as strategic trades.
However, the Marlins need to be very careful about how many of the remaining young core they part with. I’m not opposed to trading Edward Cabrera but the return for a pitcher who is controllable through 2029 would have to be very good, and would need to include major league ready talent. I’m not interested in trading young controllable major league talent for a bunch of great A ball prospects. The team’s timetable should not be 4 or 5 years, but instead 2-3 years.
To make the two to three year timetable workable, the Major League Baseball Players Association needs to keep the heat turned up on Marlins owner Bruce Sherman, who needs to spend a lot more starting in 2026. I understand not spending in 2025, because we needed to see which of these young players are part of the core over the next 2-3 years. To me, Stowers, Conine, Myers, Ramirez, Eury Perez qualify. Some are concerned with Stowers’ strikeout percentage, which is legitimate, and he will be prone to slumps, but he’s also shown an ability to make adjustments quickly and he will get better. He’s had a great year and should be a consistent 3 WAR player at least. I also like Otto Lopez at short, as early defensive metrics are good and if he can just hit close to league average, he’s good for 2 WAR a year. At the very least he’s young enough to be a capable asset for the team in a 2-3 year window, especially with the lack of SS options on the market. Xavier Edwards has been disappointing but I do like his overall value at 2B much better than at SS, and I think he will have strong second half. I wish the team would play Hicks more, but I can certainly understand trading him if the return is good, as the club has Joe Mack as the catcher of the future, and Ramirez has shown the ability to catch occasionally and be a productive DH otherwise.
The pitching staff of the next two years should include Weathers and Perez, but the rest is cloudy. Max Meyer has struggled mightily with his fastball, and that caught up to him dramatically in his last few starts. Given the thinness of Marlins pitching, even with promising Robby Snelling on the way, a struggling Alcantara is probably worth keeping rather than selling low, and Edward Cabrera may not be as easy to replace in the next two to three years as people assume. You can never have enough pitching, and most young pitchers fail. Thomas White is expected to be a front line starter but who knows and who knows when. So the team should be very cautious here when making more deals.
My criticisms:
The lineup choices and the handling of starting pitchers at times has been baffling. And the failure to trust Dane Myers against righties, even after proving himself as one of the best hitters, is frustrating. I like the bullpen management though.
Bendix needs to be more honest and upfront about direction of the team for fans. His interviews have to be among the worst I’ve seen from GMs, who are typically bad. He could learn something from how Dombrowski has always operated, even without resources.
Those are my thoughts for now, I’m always going to be a fan of this team in part because of the history of dysfunction which gives the Marlins an underdog status that will make it that much sweeter if this version of the team turns into a success story. There has been progress, but there needs to be more, and relatively soon….I’m a baseball fan, and the Marlins will always be on my radar but so will my other favorite teams like the Cardinals and Rays. I’ll end up focusing on the teams that are winning down the stretch if they are in the race….someday the Marlins need to join that group.
View From Left Field 