A lot has happened since my last post. Namely the Miami Marlins have been one of the hottest teams in baseball. The team set a club record with 11 straight road wins. The lineup has been bolstered ever since the switch of Otto Lopez from 2b to ss and Xavier Edwards from ss to 2b. The new front office has proven its ongoing ability to add lots of value from players released by other clubs. What many casual observers do not see are the ways that the entire infrastructure of the team is being rebuilt at every level of the system. The comments of big leaguers and top minor league prospects repeat a steady refrain: players are getting steady and sophisticated feedback that has helped them incorporate new tools to aid their own development as pitchers and hitters.
This does not mean that the team is ready to contend right now. What we are seeing is the adding of layers of good quality depth at every level of the minor league system. The major league team has a few quality starters that figure to play a long-term role in producing a winning roster for years to come. However, for that to happen, potential star players need to be added to the mix. This current system, from the majors to the minors, is producing good talent widely distributed. But the few potential stars or superstars has kept the rankings (and future ceiling) of big league competitiveness lower than it will take to challenge the top clubs in the NL East, namely the Phillies and Mets. The Braves are having a rare poor season, but I would expect them to pivot relatively quickly to a playoff caliber team again in seasons ahead. The Nationals are in a bit of chaos now, lagging behind the Marlins, especially in pitching development.
The building blocs for future Marlins playoff teams are readily identifiable: Eury Perez and Agustin Ramirez are foundational type players. These two potential stars or superstars will soon be complemented by catcher Joe Mack, who is back to dominating at AAA. Meanwhile, the good players poised to continue to produce value for the big league club: Kyle Stowers, Griffin Conine, Otto Lopez and Xavier Edwards. I love the rapid development of OF Jakob Marsee, one of the players acquired in the Luis Arraez trade, whose skills are elevating across the board at AAA Jacksonville with ongoing high on-base percentage bolstered by improved contact rates, more power, great baserunning and basestealing, and good defense at the corners. His emergence makes the trade of Jesus Sanchez even more likely–see the excellent work by the Fish on First team on this. Dane Myers remains valuable to the Fish–probably more valuable with the team rather than as a trade chip, with his ability to play CF and produce solid offensive numbers.
The pitching staff of 2026 could be poised to elevate the club to greater heights: Eury Perez, the return of Ryan Weathers, the emergence of Janson Junk (signed to a minor league deal but now posting outstanding major league numbers), the eventual callup of Robby Snelling and the potential star-in-watiting Thomas White, alongside the return of Braxton Garrett, added depth with Adam Mazur, the return of Max Myer (though likely to be a bullpen arm going forward) and an entire corps of elite relievers being developed at high levels of the minors, to complement the excellent work of standout waiver acquisition Ronny Henriquez in the majors, gives the team plenty of room for maneuver at the trade deadline this year and going foward in the offseason and for 2026.
On less encouraging news, the fact that Sandy Alcantara has performed so poorly and that the best starting pitcher of 2025, Edward Cabrera, had to exit his last start with elbow fatigue, is very bad timing for getting good trade returns for these two….it will be interesting to see what the front office does at the dealine, given these circumstances.
Despite encouraging signs for the Fish, the warning cloud that hangs over MLB is the end of the current collective bargaining agreement at the conclusion of the 2026 season. MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred is already doing battle with the Players Association in an attempt to divide the players from each other with the goal of pushing through a salary cap after 2026. That MLB owners never learn lessons from their past failures seems to be a given here. Manfred wants to convince the players that not having a salary cap has made them worse off in revenue distribution when compared to the revenues distributed to players in leagues that have salary caps. This is a false argument that conceals the extent to which the owners have taken advantage of the most restrictive reserve system in all of professional sports to drive down revenues distributed to the best young superstars. It is the 6-year waiting period for free agency and the caps on earnings through year 3 that has lowered the MLB players overall revenues in recent years, enabled by an ownership strategy of squeezing mid-level MLB free agents and relying on young, cheap, controllable players instead. I’ve written about this extensively for Just Baseball during the last owner lock out. I’m afraid my analysis will not be out of date at the end of the 2026 season, when another owner lockout looms:
https://www.justbaseball.com/author/ron-cox/
View From Left Field 